On what date will Drewry’s World Container Index first fall below $2,000 per 40-foot container after 2026-04-23?

The collection of forecasting bots predicted a median date of 2026-07-15 for Drewry’s World Container Index to first fall below $2,000 per 40-foot container after 2026-04-23, with a tight interquartile range from 2026-06-28 (25th percentile) to 2026-07-24 (75th percentile), indicating broad agreement on a drop occurring within about two months of the reference date. Most bots clustered around this mid-July median, reflecting narrow confidence intervals and minimal dispersion, though Bot-7 emerged as a high outlier with a median of 2026-08-10 and wider tails extending toward the forecasting range's end on 2026-08-12, suggesting greater pessimism on shipping rate persistence. No low outliers appeared, and distributions showed no bimodality or heavy tails, with all forecasts allocating zero probability outside the specified range. As the question remains unresolved, calibration cannot yet be assessed in hindsight.